Khomeini, Qom, April 1979: “Iran is now said to have a population of 35 million. Its size is such that it is sufficient for a population of 150 to 200 million. This means that if it had a population of 200 million, they would live comfortably in Iran. And other countries are also vast. Iraq is vast and has a small population.”

Khamenei, Tehran, August 2011: “I would like to mention here that I believe our country, with the resources we have, can support a population of 150 million. I believe in a large population. Any action or plan to control population growth should be implemented after reaching 150 million!”

Ahmadinejad, April 2009: “Having two children or one child is a Western policy, and in the past people used to have 7 or 8 children.”

These three examples are just a small corner of the statements made by the leaders, religious authorities, and managers of the Islamic Republic. It now seems that the part of the rulers of the Islamic Republic who saw population control as a Zionist policy and a Western package for the destruction of Islamic Iran and the Muslim community of the world. “سلام”

1. “Hello”

They have achieved their dream in implementing population growth policies and the Iranian government has fully implemented incentive packages for increasing population and prevents population decline. Considering facilities for newborns.

[2]

[2]

“Prohibition of condom imports.”

[3] Three

“And such actions take place after a period of almost twenty years, during which the governments of Mir-Hossein Mousavi (in the late years of his term), Hashemi Rafsanjani, and Mohammad Khatami had put population control policies on their agenda and had succeeded in significantly reducing the growth rate.”

Some points that can be considered as a serious warning are that deep differences in programs and results of the actions of the Islamic Republic can make us overly optimistic that the policy of population growth will remain just an unfulfilled slogan and will be limited to a series of ineffective or very limited actions. However, considering that a great deal of power is concentrated in the hands of the leader of the Islamic Republic, his will can to some extent guide the country’s future path, and unfortunately his will has been focused on increasing the population. Ayatollah Khamenei has seriously criticized the policy of population reduction four times in less than three months on the dates of August 24th, August 16th, and October 11th and 12th, 2012, and has spoken about the necessity of a significant and excessive increase in it. The noteworthy point is that there is usually a difference of fifty million between the minimum and maximum number that he mentions for the suitable population of Iran,

In this article, we intend to evaluate the impact of population growth on the political landscape of Iran and examine the social upheavals caused by this growth. Our main question is whether an increase in population will lead to peace and stability for Iranians and if a government based on human rights will be formed in this country. We will attempt to answer these questions based on Goldstone’s theories.

If we consider the definition of unemployment based on a minimum of one hour of work per week as a bitter joke of the government with the people and calculate unemployment according to the usual procedure, most sources give us numbers between 20 to 40 percent. The question here is whether the country has the capacity to provide jobs for a population of over 75 million people? And if the answer is negative, what will happen to Iran? Especially considering the fact that demographic changes are a long-term issue and their effects will be felt over a long period of time, and it is uncertain whether in a thirty-year period, given the country’s heavy dependence on oil income, Iran will still be able to provide oil and whether fossil fuels will remain a source of energy or not.

This is while the government needs resources. Whether it is a dictatorial or democratic government, if it cannot maintain its military and administrative institutions, if it cannot provide opportunities for its supporting elites, and if it cannot ensure minimum occupational, judicial, and security standards for the middle class and working population, it will not remain stable. One of the noticeable effects of population growth and resource scarcity is the decrease in the government’s ability to perform necessary tasks, which puts pressure on the government’s progress. If economic development is hindered or not in line with the population growth rate, it is possible that per capita income will decrease and only a small portion of the population will accumulate wealth. This situation is measured by the Gini coefficient.

[4]
[4]

It will change and greatly destabilize the country.

An increase in population, when accompanied by limited or inconsistent development, will create three types of changes that will result in political crises. These three types include a decrease in government capacity (caused by inflation, financial pressure, corruption, and lack of respect for human rights, etc.), conflicts among elites (caused by the gap between politicians and technocrats, divisions in the military, ethnic and religious divides, etc.), and the potential for mass mobilization (caused by decreasing wages, rising unemployment, excessive urbanization, and a young population). We will address each of these separately and ultimately examine the long-term impact of population growth on political crises and human rights. It is clear that our definition of human rights does not only include issues such as preventing arbitrary detention, freedom of speech, etc., but also encompasses the right to a human life, the ability to work, and respect for human dignity, even though we believe that widespread violations of human rights in all forms will likely result in an un